Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 2
Aug 5, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion

Cercle Brugge
2 - 0
Charleroi

Somers (16'), Denkey (43' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

Knezevic (58'), Boukamir (76'), Heymans (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Belgian Pro League clash between Cercle Brugge and Charleroi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cercle Brugge

All competitions
Last Game: Antwerp 1-0 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, July 30 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Charleroi

All competitions
Last Game: Charleroi 1-1 Leuven
Saturday, July 29 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cercle Brugge would win this match.

Result
Cercle BruggeDrawCharleroi
45.94% (-3.2 -3.2)25.15% (1.11 1.11)28.91% (2.085 2.09)
Both teams to score 54.52% (-2.103 -2.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.33% (-3.488 -3.49)48.67% (3.484 3.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.21% (-3.256 -3.26)70.78% (3.251 3.25)
Cercle Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.79% (-2.733 -2.73)21.21% (2.728 2.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.9% (-4.42 -4.42)54.09% (4.415 4.42)
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.262 -0.26)30.8% (0.256 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-0.308 -0.31)67.08% (0.304 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Cercle Brugge 45.94%
    Charleroi 28.91%
    Draw 25.14%
Cercle BruggeDrawCharleroi
1-0 @ 10.13% (0.6 0.6)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.292 -0.29)
2-0 @ 7.86% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.59 -0.59)
3-0 @ 4.06% (-0.469 -0.47)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.369 -0.37)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.414 -0.41)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.337 -0.34)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.253 -0.25)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 45.94%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.62 0.62)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.888 0.89)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 7.69% (0.999 1)
1-2 @ 7.02% (0.321 0.32)
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.56 0.56)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.108 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.208 0.21)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 28.91%

How you voted: Cercle Brugge vs Charleroi

Cercle Brugge
68.8%
Draw
12.5%
Charleroi
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Charleroi
2-1
Cercle Brugge
Mbenza (44'), Hosseinzadeh (51')
Vanhoutte (27')
Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Cercle Brugge
4-1
Charleroi
Ueda (32', 57'), Gboho (73'), Kehrer (90')
Heymans (67' pen.)
Mar 19, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Charleroi
5-0
Cercle Brugge
Kayembe (6'), Issouf Bayo (9', 35'), Heymans (41'), Zaroury (54')
Knezevic (19'), Wasinski (79')

Utkus (22')
Nov 20, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 13
Cercle Brugge
1-2
Charleroi
Daland (90')
Matondo (38'), Vanderhaeghe (65')

Ilaimaharitra (51'), Bessile (54'), Morioka (75'), Kayembe (89')
Dec 15, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 18
Cercle Brugge
3-4
Charleroi
Ugbo (17', 25'), Musaba (85')
Lopes (32'), Corryn (41')
Lopes (43')
Gholizadeh (63'), Nicholson (64'), Morioka (70'), Bruno (87')
Gholizadeh (42'), Benchaib (90+1')