Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Sep 21, 2023 at 5.55pm UK

Stade Joseph Marien

Union SG
1 - 1
Toulouse

El Amine Amoura (69')
Vanhoutte (14'), Mac Allister (53'), Sadiki (78'), Blessin (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dallinga (45+3' pen.)
Donnum (33'), Costa (66'), Magri (86')
Costa (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Union SG and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Union SG 0-2 Genk
Saturday, September 16 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: Marseille 0-0 Toulouse
Sunday, September 17 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Union SG	Draw	Toulouse
44.58% ( -0.06)	24.98% ( -0.01)	30.43% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 55.97% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.81% (

0.07)

47.19% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.58% (

0.07)

69.42% (

-0.06)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.8% (

21.2% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.92% (

54.08%

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.02% (

0.08)

28.98% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.13% (

0.1)

64.87% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Union SG 44.58%

Toulouse 30.43%

Draw 24.98%

Union SG	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 44.58%	1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.43%