Europa League
Sep 21, 2023 5.55pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Joseph Marien
  • Charles Vanhoutte 14' yellowcard
  • Kevin Mac Allister 53' yellowcard
  • Mohamed El Amine Amoura 69' goal
  • Noah Sadiki 78' yellowcard
  • Alexander Blessin 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aron Donnum 33'
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Logan Costa 66'
  • yellowcard Frank Magri 86'
  • redcard Logan Costa 90'+4'

Union SG vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions

Toulouse

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Union SG 44.58% (-0.07)
Draw 24.98% (-0.01)
Toulouse 30.43% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.97% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.81% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 47.19% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 30.58% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 69.42% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 15.07% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 84.93% (-0.05)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5 78.8% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 21.2% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 45.92% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 54.08%

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 71.02% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 28.98% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 35.13% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 64.87% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Union SG 44.58%
Draw 24.98%
Toulouse 30.43%
Union SG
1-0 @ 9.53% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.39% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 44.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.67% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.98%
Toulouse
0-1 @ 7.61% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.31% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.71% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.95% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 30.43%