Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.