Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Clermont |
| 41.88% ( | 27.31% ( | 30.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.51% ( | 56.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.52% ( | 77.48% ( |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( | 26.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.17% ( | 61.83% ( |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% ( | 33.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.89% ( | 70.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Clermont |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 4-0 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.88% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0-0 @ 8.9% ( 2-2 @ 4.68% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0-2 @ 5.33% ( 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 2-3 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.8% |