Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien

Union SG
3 - 1
Charleroi

Sykes (17', 45+4'), Burgess (45')
Burgess (64')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Guiagon (28')
Marcq (55'), Ilaimaharitra (86')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Charleroi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: RWDM 2-3 Union SG
Thursday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Charleroi

All competitions
Last Game: Charleroi 1-0 Kortrijk
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Charleroi win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawCharleroi
64.53% (-0.139 -0.14)19.96% (0.004999999999999 0)15.5% (0.139 0.14)
Both teams to score 52.82% (0.329 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.17% (0.266 0.27)41.83% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.76% (0.267 0.27)64.23% (-0.262 -0.26)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.76% (0.042999999999992 0.04)12.24% (-0.037999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.05% (0.082000000000001 0.08)37.94% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.19% (0.348 0.35)39.81% (-0.343 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.52% (0.318 0.32)76.48% (-0.312 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 64.52%
    Charleroi 15.51%
    Draw 19.96%
Union SGDrawCharleroi
2-0 @ 10.74% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 10.23% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.53% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.93% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.95% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.64% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.66% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.53% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 64.52%
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.87% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.96%
0-1 @ 4.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.34% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.07% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.33% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 15.51%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Charleroi
0-1
Union SG
Nilsson (24')
Jul 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Union SG
1-0
Charleroi
Sykes (56')
Nieuwkoop (20'), Thierry Lazare (45')

Ilaimaharitra (61')
Feb 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Charleroi
0-3
Union SG

Gholizadeh (38'), Van Cleemput (67'), Issouf Bayo (73')
Burgess (4'), Thierry Lazare (38'), Millan (90+1')
Bager (26'), Pirard (44'), Undav (84'), Puertas (87')
Vanzeir (45+3')
Nov 6, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Union SG
4-0
Charleroi
Undav (29', 39'), Nieuwkoop (34'), Kayembe (78' og.)

Zedadka (53')