Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a RWD Molenbeek win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.