Belgian Pro League Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2023 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT Edmond Machtens-Stadion
  • Makhtar Gueye 43' goal
  • Pierre Dwomoh 45'+1' goal
  • Shuto Abe 47' yellowcard
  • Moussa Sissako 83' yellowcard
  • goal Gustaf Nilsson 13'
  • goal Mohamed El Amine Amoura 33'
  • yellowcard Gustaf Nilsson 49'
  • yellowcard Kevin Mac Allister 56'
  • yellowcard Mathias Rasmussen 85'
  • goal Loic Lapoussin 90'+6'

RWD Molenbeek vs Union SG - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

RWD Molenbeek

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 7.45pm
Antwerp 0 - 0 RWDM
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Makhtar Gueye

Union SG

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Sep 24, 2023 3.00pm
Cercle Brugge 0 - 2 Union SG
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Mohamed El Amine Amoura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a RWD Molenbeek win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result

RWD Molenbeek 22.9% (+0.29)
Draw 23.53% (+0.05)
Union SG 53.57% (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.13% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.47% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 46.53% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 31.2% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 68.8% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 15.51% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 84.49% (-0.07)

RWD Molenbeek Goals

Over 0.5 65.46% (+0.32)
Under 0.5 34.54% (-0.32)
Over 1.5 28.74% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 71.26% (-0.34)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5 82.7% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 17.3% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 52.35% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 47.65% (+0.15)

Score analysis

RWD Molenbeek 22.9%
Draw 23.52%
Union SG 53.57%
RWD Molenbeek
1-0 @ 6.35% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 5.92% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 3.38% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.1% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.84% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.2% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 22.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.14% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.2% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.52%
Union SG
0-1 @ 10.48% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 9.2% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 5.72% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 5.38% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.04% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.51% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.36% (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.33% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 53.57%