Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a RWD Molenbeek win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
RWD Molenbeek	Draw	Union SG
22.9% ( 0.28)	23.53% ( 0.05)	53.57% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 54.13% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.47% (

0.1)

46.53% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.2% (

0.09)

68.8% (

-0.09)

RWD Molenbeek Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.46% (

0.31)

34.54% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.74% (

0.33)

71.26% (

-0.33)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.7% (

-0.09)

17.3% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.35% (

-0.15)

47.65% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

RWD Molenbeek 22.9%

Union SG 53.57%

Draw 23.52%

RWD Molenbeek	Draw	Union SG
1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 22.9%	1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.52%	0-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 5.72% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 53.57%