Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 37.45% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest RWD Molenbeek win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.