Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 59.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Charleroi in this match.