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EFL Cup
Liverpool logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Anfield
Leicester logo

Liverpool
3 - 1
Leicester

Gakpo (48'), Szoboszlai (70'), Jota (89')
Endo (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McAteer (3')
Pereira (23'), Choudhury (45+2')

The Match

Match Report

Liverpool progress to the fourth round of the EFL Cup thanks to a 3-1 comeback win over Leicester City.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Liverpool and Leicester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Liverpool and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Leicester City.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Leicester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 West Ham
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Premier League

Leicester City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Leicester 1-0 Bristol City
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.78%) and 1-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
LiverpoolDrawLeicester City
53.45% (-0.854 -0.85) 21.16% (0.175 0.18) 25.39% (0.686 0.69)
Both teams to score 65.5% (0.13 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.11% (-0.155 -0.16)32.89% (0.163 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.41% (-0.181 -0.18)54.59% (0.189 0.19)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.44% (-0.297 -0.3)12.56% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.37% (-0.628 -0.63)38.63% (0.635 0.63)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (0.40900000000001 0.41)25.09% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.22% (0.556 0.56)59.78% (-0.547 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 53.45%
    Leicester City 25.39%
    Draw 21.16%
LiverpoolDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-0 @ 6.54% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-2 @ 4.48% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.36% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-2 @ 2.33% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-3 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 53.45%
1-1 @ 9.04% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.48% (0.053 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.15% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.07% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 21.16%
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.124 0.12)
0-1 @ 4.36% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.094 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.089 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.059 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 25.39%

How you voted: Liverpool vs Leicester

Liverpool
80.4%
Draw
12.4%
Leicester City
7.2%
97
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316
> Premier League Full Table


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