EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
3 - 1
Leicester

Gakpo (48'), Szoboszlai (70'), Jota (89')
Endo (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

McAteer (3')
Pereira (23'), Choudhury (45+2')

Reaction

Liverpool's Dominik Szoboszlai warms up in September 2023

Jurgen Klopp lavishes praise on "top bloke" Dominik Szoboszlai

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp waxes lyrical about "top bloke" Dominik Szoboszlai following his screamer in their 3-1 EFL Cup third-round win over Leicester City.

Sep 28, 07:07

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions

Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 West Ham
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leicester City

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Leicester 1-0 Bristol City
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.78%) and 1-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Leicester City
53.45% ( -0.85)	21.16% ( 0.18)	25.39% ( 0.69)

Both teams to score 65.5% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.11% (

-0.16)

32.89% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.41% (

-0.18)

54.59% (

0.19)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.44% (

-0.3)

12.56% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.37% (

-0.63)

38.63% (

0.63)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.91% (

0.41)

25.09% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.22% (

0.56)

59.78% (

-0.55)

Score Analysis

Liverpool 53.45%

Leicester City 25.39%

Draw 21.16%

Liverpool	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.53% Total : 53.45%	1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.16%	1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.48% Total : 25.39%