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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium
Bristol City

Leicester
1 - 0
Bristol City

Vardy (67' pen.)
Faes (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (51'), Knight (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leicester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.

Result
Leicester CityDrawBristol City
44.95% (0.273 0.27)25.69% (0.061 0.06)29.36% (-0.332 -0.33)
Both teams to score 53.06% (-0.384 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.29% (-0.413 -0.41)50.71% (0.41500000000001 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.39% (-0.366 -0.37)72.61% (0.36699999999999 0.37)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)22.51% (0.049000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)56.08% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.47% (-0.453 -0.45)31.53% (0.455 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.08% (-0.526 -0.53)67.92% (0.529 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 44.94%
    Bristol City 29.36%
    Draw 25.69%
Leicester CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 44.94%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.1% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.19% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.73% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.36%

How you voted: Leicester vs Bristol City

Leicester City
70.3%
Draw
18.9%
Bristol City
10.8%
37
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2012 7.45pm
Bristol City
3-2
Leicester
Pitman (54'), Stead (79')
Stead (11'), McAllister (82')
Danns (77'), Dyer (41')
Wellens (9')
Aug 17, 2011 7.45pm
Leicester
1-2
Bristol City
Nugent (56')
Fernandes (23'), Bamba (45'), Gallagher (76')
Maynard (5', 66')
Skuse (43'), Wilson (45'), Nyatanga (76')
Feb 18, 2011 3pm