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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Leicester City |
27.23% ( 0.06) | 25.07% ( 0.05) | 47.7% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 53.58% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.65% ( -0.17) | 49.35% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.6% ( -0.15) | 71.4% ( 0.15) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.57% ( -0.04) | 32.43% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.05% ( -0.05) | 68.94% ( 0.05) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.28% ( -0.12) | 20.71% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.67% ( -0.18) | 53.33% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Leicester City |
1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 27.23% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 47.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 44 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 85 | 61 | 24 | 84 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 77 | 61 | 16 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 69 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 63 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 44 | 19 | 5 | 20 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 62 |
12 | Bristol City | 44 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 59 |
13 | Sunderland | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 56 |
15 | Watford | 44 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 53 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
17 | Millwall | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 50 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 49 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 48 |
21 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 47 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 44 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 44 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 24 |
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