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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
New York Stadium
Leicester logo

Rotherham
1 - 2
Leicester

Humphreys (9'), Onyedinma (53')
Rathbone (87'), C (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McAteer (12', 84')
Mavididi (89'), Hermansen (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawLeicester City
27.23% (0.061 0.06)25.07% (0.048999999999999 0.05)47.7% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.58% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)49.35% (0.166 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (-0.154 -0.15)71.4% (0.151 0.15)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.57% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)32.43% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)68.94% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28% (-0.116 -0.12)20.71% (0.115 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.67% (-0.184 -0.18)53.33% (0.181 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 27.23%
    Leicester City 47.7%
    Draw 25.07%
Rotherham UnitedDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 7.57% (0.043 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.71% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.26% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 27.23%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 10.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 47.7%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Leicester

Rotherham United
10.8%
Draw
10.8%
Leicester City
78.4%
37
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Rotherham
2-2
Leicester
Morris (38'), Ihiekwe (81')
Iheanacho (11', 69')
Jul 29, 2015 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Rotherham
1-2
Leicester
Ward (82')
Mahrez (58'), Nugent (74')
Aug 5, 2014 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Rotherham
1-3
Leicester
Agard (59')
Ulloa (29', 39'), Drinkwater (64')
Dec 26, 2004 3pm
Sep 11, 2004 3pm