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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Leicester City |
| 27.23% ( | 25.07% ( | 47.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.65% ( | 49.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.6% ( | 71.4% ( |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.57% ( | 32.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.05% ( | 68.94% ( |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.28% ( | 20.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.67% ( | 53.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Leicester City |
| 1-0 @ 7.57% ( 2-1 @ 6.71% ( 2-0 @ 4.26% ( 3-1 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 3-0 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 27.23% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0-2 @ 8.32% ( 1-3 @ 4.92% ( 0-3 @ 4.37% ( 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0-4 @ 1.72% ( 2-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 47.7% |