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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Rotherham logo

Sunderland
2 - 1
Rotherham

Bellingham (22', 52')
Cirkin (10'), Bellingham (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Odofin (20')
Bramall (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 50.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawRotherham United
50.65% (0.269 0.27)25.56% (0.032999999999998 0.03)23.79% (-0.301 -0.3)
Both teams to score 48.96% (-0.405 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.12% (-0.375 -0.38)53.88% (0.377 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.66% (-0.316 -0.32)75.34% (0.318 0.32)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)21.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)54.23% (0.061 0.06)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.2% (-0.483 -0.48)37.79% (0.486 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.43% (-0.475 -0.47)74.57% (0.477 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 50.64%
    Rotherham United 23.79%
    Draw 25.55%
SunderlandDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 12.44% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 9.63% (0.118 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.96% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 50.64%
1-1 @ 12.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 7.83% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 23.79%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Rotherham

Sunderland
80.0%
Draw
6.7%
Rotherham United
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Rotherham
2-1
Sunderland
Rathbone (19'), Ferguson (56')
Gelhardt (61')
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Sunderland
3-0
Rotherham
Stewart (52', 65'), Clarke (70')
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Sunderland
1-1
Rotherham
Ihiekwe (88' og.)
Matete (8')
Ihiekwe (17')
Rathbone (76')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Rotherham
5-1
Sunderland
Smith (10', 73'), Ladapo (41', 88'), Ihiekwe (53')
Smith (71')
Stewart (24')
O'Nien (38'), McGeady (46'), Evans (64')
McGeady (56')
May 3, 2020 12pm