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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 50.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 50.65% ( | 25.56% ( | 23.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.12% ( | 53.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.66% ( | 75.34% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( | 21.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.76% ( | 54.23% ( |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.2% ( | 37.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.43% ( | 74.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% ( 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 3-0 @ 4.96% ( 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 50.64% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 2-2 @ 4.56% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 7.83% ( 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0-2 @ 3.81% ( 1-3 @ 1.91% ( 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 1.63% Total : 23.79% |