Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Preston North End in this match.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Sunderland |
39.7% ( -0.37) | 24.88% ( -0.06) | 35.42% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 58.04% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.77% ( 0.35) | 45.23% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.43% ( 0.34) | 67.57% ( -0.34) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.33% ( -0.03) | 22.67% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.68% ( -0.04) | 56.32% ( 0.04) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.06% ( 0.41) | 24.94% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.42% ( 0.57) | 59.58% ( -0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Sunderland |
2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.7% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 69 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
> Championship Full Table |