Championship

Championship | Gameweek 1

Aug 6, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
1 - 2
Ipswich

Neill (86')
Mowbray (0'), Hume (32'), Ballard (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Broadhead (45+1'), Hirst (53')
McKenna (33'), Burns (35'), Hladky (56'), Morsy (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Hartlepool 5-2 Sunderland
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Ipswich
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Ipswich Town
32.3% ( 0.31)	25.14% ( -0.15)	42.56% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 56.27% (

0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.83% (

0.76)

47.16% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.6% (

0.7)

69.39% (

-0.7)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.26% (

0.57)

27.74% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.69% (

0.73)

63.31% (

-0.73)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88% (

0.25)

22.12% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.5% (

0.38)

55.49% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 32.3%

Ipswich Town 42.56%

Draw 25.14%

Sunderland	Draw	Ipswich Town
1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.3%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 42.56%