Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.