Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.