Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 27.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 45.39% ( | 27.6% ( | 27.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.88% ( | 59.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.44% ( | 79.56% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( | 26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.97% ( | 61.03% ( |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.14% ( | 37.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.36% ( | 74.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 13.26% ( 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 4-1 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 45.39% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0-0 @ 9.85% ( 2-2 @ 4.21% ( Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 2-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 1.66% Total : 27.01% |