Championship

Championship | Gameweek 46

May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
2 - 0
Stoke

Louza (70'), Davis (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Watford and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Watford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 QPR
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Watford	Draw	Stoke City
36.39% ( 0.02)	26.87% ( -0.01)	36.74% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 51.33% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.15% (

0.01)

53.85% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.69% (

0.01)

75.31% (

-0.02)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.54% (

0.01)

28.46% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.77% (

0.02)

64.22% (

-0.02)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.75% (

-0)

28.25% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.04% (

-0)

63.96% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Watford 36.38%

Stoke City 36.73%

Draw 26.87%

Watford	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 36.38%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.87%	0-1 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.76% Total : 36.73%