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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Stoke logo

Watford
2 - 0
Stoke

Louza (70'), Davis (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pearson (51'), Tymon (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Watford and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Watford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 QPR
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Stoke City

There should not be much between two sides who have underperformed this season in a game with nothing riding on it to finish the campaign. Watford's poor recent results at home may give Stoke belief that they can extend their away unbeaten run here, though. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawStoke City
36.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 26.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 36.74% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.15% (0.013000000000005 0.01)53.85% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.69% (0.010999999999999 0.01)75.31% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.54% (0.013000000000005 0.01)28.46% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (0.019000000000005 0.02)64.22% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)28.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)63.96% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 36.38%
    Stoke City 36.73%
    Draw 26.87%
WatfordDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 36.38%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 36.73%

How you voted: Watford vs Stoke

Watford
50.0%
Draw
37.5%
Stoke City
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 12pm
gameweek 12
Stoke
0-4
Watford

Fosu (14')
Sarr (12'), Sema (64'), Davis (78'), Issouf Bayo (84')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Watford
1-3
Stoke
Fletcher (61')
Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')
Jan 22, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Stoke
1-2
Watford
Fletcher (83')
Collins (81')
Deeney (64' pen.), Sarr (68')
Sierralta (18'), Femenia (34')
Nov 4, 2020 7pm
gameweek 10
Watford
3-2
Stoke
Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')
Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')
Jan 31, 2018 8pm
Stoke
0-0
Watford

Adam (21'), Bauer (35'), Biram Diouf (52'), Pieters (59')

Kabasele (18'), Holebas (47'), Doucoure (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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