Championship Gameweek 46
Watford
May 8, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
Stoke
  • Imran Louza 70' goal
  • Keinan Davis 74' goal

Watford vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
Sunderland 2 - 2 Watford
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
Stoke 0 - 1 QPR
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Tyrese Campbell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

Watford 36.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 26.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Stoke City 36.74% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.33% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 53.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 24.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 75.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 11.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.84% ▼ (-0.02)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 71.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 28.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 35.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 64.22% ▼ (-0.03)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 71.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 28.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 36.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 63.96% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Watford 36.38%
Draw 26.87%
Stoke City 36.73%
Watford
1-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 8.03% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 36.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.87%
Stoke City
0-1 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 36.73%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 12
Stoke
Oct 2, 2022 12.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
Watford
  • goal Ismaila Sarr 12'
  • goal Ken Sema 64'
  • goal Keinan Davis 78'
  • goal Vakoun Issouf Bayo 84'
EFL Cup
Watford
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Vicarage Road
Stoke
  • Ashley Fletcher 61' goal
  • goal Nick Powell 25'
  • goal Sam Clucas 80'
  • goal Josh Tymon 85'
  • yellowcard Danny Batth 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 26
Stoke
Jan 22, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
Watford
  • Nathan Collins 81' yellowcard
  • Steven Fletcher 83' goal
  • yellowcard Francisco Sierralta 18'
  • yellowcard Kiko Femenia 34'
  • goal Troy Deeney 64'
  • goal Ismaila Sarr 68'
Championship Gameweek 10
Watford
Nov 4, 2020 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Vicarage Road
Stoke
  • Tom Cleverley 28' goal
  • Nathaniel Chalobah 56' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 61' goal
  • Ismaila Sarr 90'+2' goal
  • Etienne Capoue 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Steven Fletcher 2'
  • yellowcard Angus Gunn 61'
  • yellowcard John Obi Mikel 79'
  • goal Nick Powell 81'
Premier League
Stoke
Jan 31, 2018 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Watford
  • Charlie Adam 21' yellowcard
  • Moritz Bauer 35' yellowcard
  • Mame Biram Diouf 52' yellowcard
  • Erik Pieters 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Kabasele 18'
  • yellowcard Jose Holebas 47'
  • yellowcard Abdoulaye Doucoure 90'
Premier League
Watford
Oct 28, 2017 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Stoke
  • Kiko Femenia 57' yellowcard
  • Richarlison 76' yellowcard
  • Abdoulaye Doucoure 87' yellowcard
  • Troy Deeney 90' yellowcard
  • goal Darren Fletcher 16'
  • yellowcard Eric Choupo-Moting 62'
  • yellowcard Xherdan Shaqiri 85'
  • yellowcard Mame Biram Diouf 87'
  • yellowcard Joe Allen 90'

Form Data

Sunderland 2 - 2 Watford
Hull City 1 - 0 Watford
Watford 1 - 3 Cardiff
Watford 2 - 0 Bristol City
Coventry 2 - 2 Watford
Watford 2 - 3 Huddersfield
Stoke 0 - 1 QPR
Cardiff 1 - 1 Stoke
Stoke 0 - 1 Wigan
Stoke 1 - 2 West Brom
Birmingham 0 - 0 Stoke
Stoke 1 - 2 Bristol City