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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
QPR logo

Stoke
0 - 1
QPR

FT(HT: 0-0)
Adomah (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-2 QPR
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 54.58%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
54.58% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)23.97% (0.021999999999998 0.02)21.45% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.84% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.03% (-0.103 -0.1)49.96% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.05% (-0.093 -0.09)71.95% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)18.2% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79% (-0.07 -0.07)49.21% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.15% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)37.85% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.38% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)74.62% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 54.57%
    Queens Park Rangers 21.45%
    Draw 23.97%
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 54.57%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.03 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.25%
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 21.45%

How you voted: Stoke vs QPR

Stoke City
33.3%
Draw
22.2%
Queens Park Rangers
44.4%
27
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
QPR
0-0
Stoke

Taylor (87')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
gameweek 44
Stoke
1-0
QPR
Brown (45+1')

Dunne (13')
Dec 5, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 21
QPR
0-2
Stoke
Campbell (14'), Vrancic (78')
Fox (53')
May 1, 2021 3pm
gameweek 45
Stoke
0-2
QPR

Brown (86')
Austin (17'), Kakay (70')
Barbet (28'), Bonne (90')
Dec 15, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 19
QPR
0-0
Stoke

Barbet (31'), Hamalainen (50')

Souttar (86')
rhs 2.0


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