Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT KCOM Stadium
  • Ozan Tufan 25' goal

Hull City vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hull City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2023 8.00pm
Middlesbrough 3 - 1 Hull City
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Oscar Estupinan

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2023 7.45pm
Watford 1 - 3 Cardiff
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hull City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hull City.

Result

Hull City 36.55% (-0.05)
Draw 27.3% (+0.04)
Watford 36.14% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.97% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.44% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 55.55% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 23.27% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 76.73% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 10.28% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 89.72% (+0.06)

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5 70.81% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 29.19% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 34.87% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 65.13% (+0.10)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 70.56% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 29.43% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 34.57% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 65.43% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Hull City 36.55%
Draw 27.29%
Watford 36.14%
Hull City
1-0 @ 10.57% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.51% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.59% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.29%
Watford
0-1 @ 10.5% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.43% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.62% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 36.14%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
Premier League
Apr 22, 2017 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Oumar Niasse 25' redcard
  • Alfred N'Diaye 42' yellowcard
  • Lazar Markovic 62' goal
  • Lazar Markovic 66' yellowcard
  • Sam Clucas 71' goal
  • Andrew Robertson 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Prodl 68'
Premier League
Oct 29, 2016 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Valon Behrami 53' yellowcard
  • Michael Dawson 82' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Mason 57'
  • yellowcard Sam Clucas 58'
Championship
Apr 2, 2013 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Troy Deeney 41'
  • yellowcard Joel Ekstrand 90'
Championship
Dec 8, 2012 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Troy Deeney 90' goal
  • goal David Meyler 41'
  • yellowcard Robert Brady 69'
  • goal Robert Brady 73'
  • yellowcard Jay Simpson 88'
Championship
Apr 14, 2012 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Troy Deeney 12' goal
  • Adrian Mariappa 62' yellowcard
  • Adrian Mariappa 65' redcard
  • goal James Chester 4'
  • yellowcard James Chester 56'