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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Leicester
2 - 1
Cardiff

Marcal-Madivadua (36'), Casadei (90+2')
Mavididi (5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ramsey (45+1')
Ramsey (19'), Goutas (57'), Collins (87'), Simpson (90+1'), Romeo (90+4')
Romeo (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawCardiff City
46.46% (-1.619 -1.62)25.59% (-0.111 -0.11)27.95% (1.729 1.73)
Both teams to score 52.48% (1.657 1.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.97% (1.53 1.53)51.03% (-1.532 -1.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.1% (1.327 1.33)72.89% (-1.328 -1.33)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)21.95% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.76% (-0.131 -0.13)55.24% (0.129 0.13)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25% (2.193 2.19)32.75% (-2.195 -2.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69% (2.377 2.38)69.31% (-2.38 -2.38)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 46.46%
    Cardiff City 27.95%
    Draw 25.58%
Leicester CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.9% (-0.71 -0.71)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.27% (-0.565 -0.57)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.297 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.129 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.117 -0.12)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 46.46%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.19% (-0.452 -0.45)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.269 0.27)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.371 0.37)
0-2 @ 4.48% (0.255 0.26)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.277 0.28)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.206 0.21)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.187 0.19)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 27.95%

How you voted: Leicester vs Cardiff

Leicester City
81.1%
Draw
10.8%
Cardiff City
8.1%
37
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 20
Leicester
0-1
Cardiff
Camarasa (90')
Etheridge (53'), Morrison (90')
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 11
Cardiff
0-1
Leicester

Arter (45'), Hoilett (81')
Gray (55')
Pereira (33'), Gray (55')
Mar 12, 2013 7.45pm
Cardiff
1-1
Leicester
Gestede (90')
Noone (27'), Nugent (66')
Keane (72')
Nugent (11'), St. Ledger (20'), Keane (80')
Feb 11, 2012 3pm
Leicester
2-1
Cardiff
Gallagher (71', 41' pen.)
Whittingham (77' pen.)
Cowie (70')