Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 50.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.