Championship

Championship | Gameweek 7

Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
4 - 1
Plymouth

Bell (3'), James (8'), Sykes (33'), Cornick (80')
Wells (35'), Tanner (67'), Yeboah (90+3')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Randell (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 West Brom
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Preston 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
42.1% ( 1.5)	24.93% ( -0.12)	32.97% ( -1.38)

Both teams to score 57.26% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.01% (

0.19)

45.99% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.71% (

0.18)

68.29% (

-0.18)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16% (

0.81)

21.84% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.94% (

1.21)

55.06% (

-1.22)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.25% (

-0.74)

26.74% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.98% (

-0.99)

62.02% (

0.99)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 42.1%

Plymouth Argyle 32.97%

Draw 24.92%

Bristol City	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.1%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.92%	1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.97%