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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Birmingham logo

Bristol City
0 - 2
Birmingham


Dickie (38'), Dickie (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Miyoshi (45+3'), Jutkiewicz (84')
Sunjic (20'), Buchanan (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawBirmingham City
45.13% (-1.348 -1.35)25.47% (0.009999999999998 0.01)29.39% (1.337 1.34)
Both teams to score 53.77% (0.829 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.21% (0.684 0.68)49.78% (-0.685 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.21% (0.608 0.61)71.79% (-0.61 -0.61)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (-0.327 -0.33)22.04% (0.325 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.63% (-0.492 -0.49)55.37% (0.491 0.49)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97% (1.345 1.35)31.03% (-1.347 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.66% (1.548 1.55)67.34% (-1.548 -1.55)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 45.13%
    Birmingham City 29.4%
    Draw 25.47%
Bristol CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.378 -0.38)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 45.13%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.254 0.25)
0-2 @ 4.68% (0.212 0.21)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.196 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.129 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 29.4%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Birmingham

Bristol City
42.3%
Draw
26.9%
Birmingham City
30.8%
26
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Bristol City
4-2
Birmingham
Semenyo (17'), Wells (21'), Sykes (47', 66')
Deeney (34' pen.), Khadra (76')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Birmingham
3-0
Bristol City
Trusty (3', 43'), Sanderson (75')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Bristol City
1-2
Birmingham
Scott (48')
Klose (31'), Scott (86')
Chong (2'), Gordon (13')
Gardner (90+3')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Birmingham
3-0
Bristol City
McGree (14'), Hogan (68'), Gardner (77')

Bakinson (82'), Weimann (87')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Birmingham
0-3
Bristol City

Sanchez (45+1'), Sunjic (48'), Roberts (90+1')
Palmer (35'), Semenyo (62'), O'Dowda (76')
Wells (49'), Lansbury (66')