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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 45.13% ( | 25.47% ( | 29.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.21% ( | 49.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.21% ( | 71.79% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( | 22.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.63% ( | 55.37% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% ( | 31.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.66% ( | 67.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 2-0 @ 7.82% ( 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 45.13% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 3-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8% ( 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0-2 @ 4.68% ( 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0-3 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.4% |