Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.