Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.