EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
2 - 0
Leyton Orient

Waine (25', 38')
Cundle (48')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Brown (22'), Pigott (44'), Sotiriou (46'), Obiero (90+2'), Sodje (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Plymouth Argyle and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leyton Orient

All competitions

Last Game: Charlton 1-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 52.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Leyton Orient
52.46% ( 0.37)	24.34% ( -0.1)	23.19% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 51.92% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.36% (

0.15)

49.64% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.34% (

0.13)

71.66% (

-0.13)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.11% (

0.2)

18.89% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.64% (

0.33)

50.36% (

-0.33)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64% (

-0.16)

35.99% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.22% (

-0.16)

72.77% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 52.46%

Leyton Orient 23.19%

Draw 24.34%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Leyton Orient
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 52.46%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.34%	0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.88% Total : 23.19%