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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Bristol City

Swansea
1 - 2
Bristol City

Cullen (10')
Naughton (45+2'), Ginnelly (57'), Paterson (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sykes (48'), Bell (59')
Naismith (45+3'), Dickie (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
43.25% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)26.37% (-0.004999999999999 -0)30.38% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.48% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47% (0.028999999999996 0.03)53% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4% (0.023999999999997 0.02)74.59% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68%24.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29%58.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02% (0.036000000000001 0.04)31.97% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.57% (0.042000000000002 0.04)68.43% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 43.25%
    Bristol City 30.38%
    Draw 26.36%
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 43.25%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 8.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.38%

Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
2-0
Bristol City
Cullen (34'), Ntcham (77')
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cooper (73')
Sykes (62'), Bell (112')
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Bristol City
1-1
Swansea
Semenyo (75')
Piroe (15')
Oct 29, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 18
Bristol City
1-1
Swansea
Conway (24')
Ntcham (76')
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 32
Swansea
3-1
Bristol City
Obafemi (54'), Christie (79'), Piroe (90+4')
Obafemi (56'), Christie (90+2')
Weimann (42')
Klose (59'), Dasilva (69'), Semenyo (86'), Martin (90+2'), Williams (90+4')