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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Plymouth Argyle

Preston
2 - 1
Plymouth

Holmes (1'), Millar (25')
Ledson (22'), Holmes (32'), McCann (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hardie (61')
Miller (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Preston North End 2-1 Plymouth Argyle

Preston North End will be full of confidence after their fast start, and although Plymouth will certainly make it difficult, we back the Lilywhites to get over the line on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Preston North End in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Preston North End.

Result
Preston North EndDrawPlymouth Argyle
42.92% (-0.337 -0.34) 25.18% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 31.9% (0.297 0.3)
Both teams to score 56.01% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.56% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)47.44% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.34% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)69.66% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)22.07% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.59% (-0.29 -0.29)55.42% (0.292 0.29)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.87% (0.155 0.16)28.14% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.19% (0.197 0.2)63.82% (-0.19500000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 42.92%
    Plymouth Argyle 31.9%
    Draw 25.17%
Preston North EndDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.034999999999998 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 42.92%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.87% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.99% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.9%

How you voted: Preston vs Plymouth

Preston North End
57.7%
Draw
30.8%
Plymouth Argyle
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
1-1
Preston
Johnson (71' pen.)
St Ledger-Hall (18')
Mawene (90'), Jones (90')
Dec 12, 2009 3pm
Feb 3, 2009 3pm
Oct 21, 2008 3pm
Apr 19, 2008 3pm
Plymouth
2-2
Preston
Wotton (75' pen.), Mackie (12')
Timar (47')
Chaplow (90'), Mellor (77')
Sedgwick (47'), Mawene (74'), Mellor (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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