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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Plymouth Argyle

Preston
2 - 1
Plymouth

Holmes (1'), Millar (25')
Ledson (22'), Holmes (32'), McCann (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hardie (61')
Miller (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Preston North End in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Preston North End.

Result
Preston North EndDrawPlymouth Argyle
42.92% (-0.337 -0.34)25.18% (0.042999999999999 0.04)31.9% (0.297 0.3)
Both teams to score 56.01% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.56% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)47.44% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.34% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)69.66% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)22.07% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.59% (-0.29 -0.29)55.42% (0.292 0.29)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.87% (0.155 0.16)28.14% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.19% (0.197 0.2)63.82% (-0.19500000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 42.92%
    Plymouth Argyle 31.9%
    Draw 25.17%
Preston North EndDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.034999999999998 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 42.92%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.87% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.99% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.9%

How you voted: Preston vs Plymouth

Preston North End
57.7%
Draw
30.8%
Plymouth Argyle
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
1-1
Preston
Johnson (71' pen.)
St Ledger-Hall (18')
Mawene (90'), Jones (90')
Dec 12, 2009 3pm
Feb 3, 2009 3pm
Oct 21, 2008 3pm
Apr 19, 2008 3pm
Plymouth
2-2
Preston
Wotton (75' pen.), Mackie (12')
Timar (47')
Chaplow (90'), Mellor (77')
Sedgwick (47'), Mawene (74'), Mellor (87')