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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 26.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Preston North End |
| 46.1% ( | 27.24% ( | 26.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.95% ( | 58.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.27% ( | 78.73% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( | 25.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.12% ( | 59.88% ( |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.43% ( | 37.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.65% ( | 74.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Preston North End |
| 1-0 @ 13.04% ( 2-0 @ 9% ( 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 3-0 @ 4.14% ( 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 4-1 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 46.1% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 2-2 @ 4.31% ( Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 1-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.48% ( 2-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 1.69% Total : 26.65% |