Stoke logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Rotherham logo

Stoke
6 - 1
Rotherham

Burger (2'), Mmaee (18'), Laurent (29', 55'), Campbell (43'), Leris (72')
Wilmot (47')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Morrison (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Stoke City and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Leicester
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 19.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawRotherham United
56.39% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)24.41%19.19%
Both teams to score 46.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.68%54.31% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.3%75.7% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)19.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.19% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)50.8% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.25%42.75% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.92%79.08% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 56.39%
    Rotherham United 19.19%
    Draw 24.4%
Stoke CityDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 13.53%
2-0 @ 11.18%
2-1 @ 9.5%
3-0 @ 6.16%
3-1 @ 5.24%
4-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 56.39%
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 8.19%
2-2 @ 4.04%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 6.96%
1-2 @ 4.89%
0-2 @ 2.96%
1-3 @ 1.38%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 19.19%

How you voted: Stoke vs Rotherham

Stoke City
77.6%
Draw
10.2%
Rotherham United
12.2%
49
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Stoke
4-1
Rotherham
Hoever (5'), Vidigal (45+3', 45+8'), Brown (90')
Brown (30'), Pearson (45+2'), Johnson (74'), Laurent (88'), Thompson (90+5')
Peltier (46')
Bramall (25'), Odofin (28'), Morrison (45+2'), Cafu (52')
Cafu (69')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 24
Rotherham
2-2
Stoke
Thompson (45' og.), Washington (71')
Campbell (61'), Peltier (80' og.)
Oct 18, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Stoke
0-1
Rotherham
Jan 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Rotherham
3-3
Stoke
Crooks (31', 67'), Smith (51')
Crooks (81'), Olosunde (90+1')
MacDonald (14' og.), Batth (62'), Powell (75')
Batth (39')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 9
Stoke
1-0
Rotherham
McClean (27')
Fox (90+2')

MacDonald (41'), Smith (72')