EFL Cup
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
6
1
HT : 4 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Wouter Burger 2' goal
  • Ryan Mmaee 18' goal
  • Josh Laurent 29' goal
  • Tyrese Campbell 43' goal
  • Ben Wilmot 47' yellowcard
  • Josh Laurent 55' goal
  • Mehdi Leris 72' goal
  • goal Sean Morrison 22'

Stoke City vs Rotherham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Rotherham United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 19.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result

Stoke City 56.39% (-0.01)
Draw 24.41%
Rotherham United 19.19%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.28%

Goals

Over 2.5 45.68%
Under 2.5 54.31% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 24.3%
Under 3.5 75.7% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 10.92%
Under 4.5 89.08% (-0.01)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 80.85% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 19.15%
Over 1.5 49.19% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 50.8% (-0.01)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 57.25%
Under 0.5 42.75% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 20.92%
Under 1.5 79.08% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Stoke City 56.39%
Draw 24.4%
Rotherham United 19.19%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 13.53%
2-0 @ 11.18%
2-1 @ 9.5%
3-0 @ 6.16%
3-1 @ 5.24%
4-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 2.16%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 56.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 8.19%
2-2 @ 4.04%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.4%
Rotherham United
0-1 @ 6.96%
1-2 @ 4.89%
0-2 @ 2.96%
1-3 @ 1.38%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 19.19%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Ki-Jana Hoever 5' goal
  • Jacob Brown 30' yellowcard
  • Ben Pearson 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Andre Vidigal 45'+3' goal
  • Andre Vidigal 45'+8' goal
  • Daniel Johnson 74' yellowcard
  • Josh Laurent 88' yellowcard
  • Jacob Brown 90' goal
  • Jordan Thompson 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cohen Bramall 25'
  • yellowcard Hakeem Odofin 28'
  • goal Lee Peltier 46'
  • yellowcard Sean Morrison 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Cafu 52'
  • redcard Cafu 69'
Championship Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Jordan Thompson 45' goal
  • Conor Washington 71' goal
  • goal Tyrese Campbell 61'
  • goal Lee Peltier 80' (OG)
Championship Gameweek 16
Oct 18, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • goal Oliver Rathbone 6'
Championship Gameweek 25
Jan 19, 2021 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Matt Crooks 31' goal
  • Michael Smith 51' goal
  • Matt Crooks 67' goal
  • Matt Crooks 81' yellowcard
  • Matthew Olosunde 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Angus MacDonald 14' (OG)
  • yellowcard Danny Batth 39'
  • goal Danny Batth 62'
  • goal Nick Powell 75'
Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 31, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • James McClean 27' goal
  • Morgan Fox 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Angus MacDonald 41'
  • yellowcard Michael Smith 72'
Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 13, 2019 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Bet365 Stadium (Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire)
  • Sam Vokes 27' goal
  • Sam Clucas 29' goal
  • goal Will Vaulks 58'
  • yellowcard Will Vaulks 60'
  • goal Matt Crooks 74'