/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fstolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
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Luke McNally
29'
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Luke McNally
29'
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Wesley
52'
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Andre Vidigal
53'
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Jordan Thompson
77'
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Daniel Johnson
83'
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Ismael Kone
60'
Stoke City vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.
Result
Stoke City
46.55%
▼
(-0.07)
Draw
26.52%
▼
(-0.01)
Watford
26.93%
▲
(+0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
48.95%
▲
(+0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.73%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
55.27%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 3.5
23.5%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
76.49%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 4.5
10.42%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
89.57%
▼
(-0.04)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5
76.28%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
23.72%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
42.15%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
57.85%
▲
(+0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
64.18%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
35.82%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
27.4%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
72.6%
▼
(-0.09)
Score analysis
Stoke City
46.54%
Draw
26.52%
Watford
26.93%
Stoke City
1-0
@
12.22%
▼
(-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.8% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.54%
2-1 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.8% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.54%
Draw
1-1
@
12.55%
0-0 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.52%
0-0 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.52%
Watford
0-1
@
8.72%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 26.93%
1-2 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 26.93%