Championship Gameweek 4
Millwall
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
Stoke
  • George Saville 7' yellowcard
  • Kevin Nisbet 38' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Laurent 18'
  • yellowcard Ben Wilmot 33'
  • yellowcard Ki-Jana Hoever 35'
  • yellowcard Ben Pearson 51'
  • yellowcard Luke McNally 82'

Millwall vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Aug 20, 2023 12.00pm
Norwich 3 - 1 Millwall
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
Stoke 1 - 0 Watford
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Andre Vidigal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Millwall 31.96% ▼ (-0.20)
Draw 27.13% ▲ (+0.09)
Stoke City 40.9% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.77% ▼ (-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.51% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 2.5 55.49% ▲ (+0.37)
Over 3.5 23.33% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 3.5 76.67% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 4.5 10.31% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 4.5 89.68% ▲ (+0.19)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 67.86% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 0.5 32.14% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 1.5 31.38% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 1.5 68.62% ▲ (+0.37)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 73.33% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 26.66% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 38.09% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 61.91% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Millwall 31.96%
Draw 27.13%
Stoke City 40.9%
Millwall
1-0 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.85% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.57% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.13%
Stoke City
0-1 @ 11.32% ▲ (+0.13)
1-2 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 40.9%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 34
Stoke
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
Millwall
  • goal Zian Flemming 9'
Championship Gameweek 1
Millwall
Jul 30, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
Stoke
  • Charlie Cresswell 12' goal
  • Charlie Cresswell 39' yellowcard
  • Charlie Cresswell 65' goal
  • yellowcard Aden Flint 44'
  • yellowcard Gavin Kilkenny 83'
Championship Gameweek 39
Stoke
Mar 19, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Millwall
  • Jacob Brown 19' goal
  • Josh Tymon 56' yellowcard
  • Jacob Brown 65' yellowcard
  • George Saville 70' goal
  • Jordan Thompson 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Ballard 85'
Championship Gameweek 14
Millwall
Oct 23, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Stoke
  • Scott Malone 32' yellowcard
  • Tom Bradshaw 51' goal
  • Tom Bradshaw 61' goal
  • Matt Smith 84' yellowcard
  • goal Romaine Sawyers 20'
  • yellowcard Harry Souttar 45'+1'
Championship Gameweek 40
Stoke
Apr 5, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
Millwall
  • Danny Batth 37' yellowcard
  • Jacob Brown 41' goal
  • goal Murray Wallace 36'
  • goal Mason Bennett 71'
  • yellowcard Murray Wallace 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 1
Millwall
Sep 12, 2020 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
Stoke
  • Ben Thompson 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jacob Brown 90'

Form Data

Norwich 3 - 1 Millwall
Millwall 0 - 1 Bristol City
Millwall 0 - 4 Reading
Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Millwall
Millwall 1 - 2 Sittard
Millwall 2 - 2 Charlton
Stoke 1 - 0 Watford
Ipswich 2 - 0 Stoke
Stoke 2 - 1 West Brom
Stoke 4 - 1 Rotherham
Stoke 0 - 1 Everton
Burton Albion 0 - 1 Stoke