Europa League
Oct 26, 2023 8.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Anfield
  • Diogo Jota 9' goal
  • Wataru Endo 30' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 34' goal
  • Ryan Gravenberch 65' goal
  • Harvey Elliott 75' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Salah 90'+3' goal
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 16'

Liverpool vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 5, 2023 8.00pm
Liverpool 2 - 0 Union SG

Toulouse

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 5, 2023 8.00pm
Toulouse 1 - 0 LASK

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.25%) and 3-1 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result

Liverpool 64.59% (-0.01)
Draw 18.42%
Toulouse 16.99% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.18% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.62% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 31.37%
Over 3.5 47.17% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 52.83% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 28.19% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 71.81% (-0.01)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 90.77%
Under 0.5 9.22%
Over 1.5 68.79% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 31.2% (+0.01)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 68.49% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 31.5%
Over 1.5 32.11% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 67.89% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Liverpool 64.59%
Draw 18.42%
Toulouse 16.99%
Liverpool
2-1 @ 9.53%
2-0 @ 8.25%
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.92%
3-0 @ 6.56% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.51%
3-2 @ 4.37%
4-0 @ 3.91%
4-2 @ 2.61%
5-1 @ 2.15%
5-0 @ 1.86%
5-2 @ 1.24%
4-3 @ 1%
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 64.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 8%
2-2 @ 5.51%
0-0 @ 2.91%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 18.42%
Toulouse
1-2 @ 4.62%
0-1 @ 3.36%
2-3 @ 2.12% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.94%
1-3 @ 1.78% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 16.99%

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