Toulouse
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
LASK

Toulouse
1 - 0
LASK

Suazo (31')
Suazo (36'), Diarra (39'), Schmidt (39'), Desler (65'), Casseres Jr (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jovicic (56'), Darboe (76'), Ljubic (89'), Sageder (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Toulouse and LASK Linz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsberger 2-1 LASK
Saturday, September 30 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LASK Linz win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a LASK Linz win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawLASK Linz
30.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)23.61% (0.0040000000000013 0)45.97% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.72% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.06% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)40.94% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.67% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)63.33% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.88% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)
LASK Linz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.92% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)18.08% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)49% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 30.42%
    LASK Linz 45.97%
    Draw 23.6%
ToulouseDrawLASK Linz
2-1 @ 7.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 6.32% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 4.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.82%
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.11%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 30.42%
1-1 @ 10.81%
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 6.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.57% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.26% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 45.97%

How you voted: Toulouse vs LASK

Toulouse
73.6%
Draw
18.1%
LASK Linz
8.3%
72