Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6

Sep 24, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
2 - 1
Toulouse

Said (45+2'), Guilavogui (84')
Gradit (54'), Wahi (75')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gelabert (33')
Donnum (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Lens
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Union SG 1-1 Toulouse
Thursday, September 21 at 5.55pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 22.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
Lens	Draw	Toulouse
54.74% ( 0.14)	23.25% ( -0.08)	22.01% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 53.87% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.67% (

0.27)

46.33% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.39% (

0.25)

68.62% (

-0.25)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.2% (

0.15)

16.81% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.22% (

0.26)

46.78% (

-0.26)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.75% (

0.09)

35.25% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.99% (

0.09)

72.01% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Lens 54.73%

Toulouse 22.01%

Draw 23.25%

Lens	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 54.73%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.25%	0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 22.01%