Premier League
Gameweek
14
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-
Neal Maupay
49'
-
Ben Mee
56'
-
Shandon Baptiste
81'
-
Christian Norgaard
81'
-
Thomas Kaminski
38'
-
Tahith Chong
50'
-
Jacob Brown
76'
Brentford vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
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Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
Result
Brentford
45.27%
▲
(+0.10)
Draw
25.59%
▲
(+0.01)
Luton Town
29.14%
▼
(-0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
53.24%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.59%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
50.41%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
27.65%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
72.34%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 4.5
13.08%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
86.91%
▲
(+0.05)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5
77.76%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
22.24%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
44.33%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
55.67%
▼
(-0.02)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5
68.46%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 0.5
31.54%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
32.07%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 1.5
67.93%
▲
(+0.14)
Score analysis
Brentford
45.27%
Draw
25.58%
Luton Town
29.14%
Brentford
1-0
@
10.54%
▲
(+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 45.27%
2-1 @ 9.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 45.27%
Draw
1-1
@
12.16%
0-0 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.58%
0-0 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.58%
Luton Town
0-1
@
8.09%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.14%
1-2 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.14%
