Champions League
Arsenal
Nov 8, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Sevilla
  • Leandro Trossard 29' goal
  • Bukayo Saka 64' goal
  • Oleksandr Zinchenko 81' yellowcard
  • Declan Rice 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Boubakary Soumare 66'
  • yellowcard Juanlu Sanchez 71'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ocampos 77'

Arsenal vs Sevilla - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 24, 2023 8.00pm
Sevilla 1 - 2 Arsenal

Sevilla

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 24, 2023 8.00pm
Sevilla 1 - 2 Arsenal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.2%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 20.8% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 3-1 (7.08%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (5.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Arsenal 59.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 20% ▲ (+0.01)
Sevilla 20.8% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.55% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.23% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 32.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 45.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 54.46% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 26.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 73.24% ▼ (-0.04)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 89.06%
Under 0.5 10.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 64.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 35.14% ▲ (+0.01)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5 71.36% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 28.64% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 35.55% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 64.45% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Arsenal 59.2%
Draw 20%
Sevilla 20.8%
Arsenal
2-1 @ 9.59% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 59.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 20%
Sevilla
1-2 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 20.8%

Head to Head

Champions League
Sevilla
Oct 24, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Arsenal
  • Nemanja Gudelj 58' goal
  • Mariano 67' yellowcard
  • Erik Lamela 76' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 45'+3'
  • goal Gabriel Jesus 53'
  • yellowcard Jorginho 68'
Club Friendlies 1
Arsenal
Jul 30, 2022 12.30pm
6
0
HT : 4 0
FT
Sevilla
  • Bukayo Saka 10' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 13' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 15' goal
  • Bukayo Saka 19' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 77' goal
  • Eddie Nketiah 88' goal
  • yellowcard Kike Salas 73'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Arsenal
Jul 30, 2017 4.20pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Sevilla
  • Alexandre Lacazette 62' goal
  • yellowcard Sergio Escudero 43'
  • goal Joaquin Correa 49'
  • goal Steven N'Zonzi 69'
  • yellowcard Michael Krohn-Dehli 86'

Form Data

Newcastle 1 - 0 Arsenal
West Ham 3 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 5 - 0 Sheff Utd
Sevilla 1 - 2 Arsenal
Chelsea 2 - 2 Arsenal
Arsenal 1 - 0 Man City
Celta Vigo 1 - 1 Sevilla
Quintanar 0 - 3 Sevilla
Cadiz 2 - 2 Sevilla
Sevilla 1 - 2 Arsenal
Sevilla 1 - 1 Real Madrid
Sevilla 2 - 2 Rayo Vallecano

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