Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.