La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 1, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
3 - 2
Cadiz

Correa (32', 66'), Molina (46')
Koke (12')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Pires (12'), Marti (27')
Marti (39'), Sobrino (90+2'), Kouame (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Atletico
Thursday, September 28 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cadiz

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, September 27 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 68.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 12.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Cadiz
68.1% ( -0.94)	19.38% ( 0.48)	12.52% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 46.73% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.22% (

-0.96)

45.77% (

0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.91% (

-0.92)

68.09% (

0.92)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.59% (

-0.54)

12.41% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.7% (

-1.14)

38.29% (

1.14)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.35% (

0.16)

46.65% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.78% (

0.13)

82.22% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 68.09%

Cadiz 12.52%

Draw 19.38%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Cadiz
2-0 @ 12.6% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.05% Total : 68.09%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.72% Total : 19.38%	0-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 12.52%