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La Liga

Valencia logo
La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Cadiz logo

Valencia
2 - 0
Cadiz

Gaya (4'), Duro (26')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pires (68'), Fali (71'), Sobrino (90+2')
Navarro (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Cadiz

All competitions
Last Game: Cadiz 0-1 Girona
Saturday, October 7 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 21.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawCadiz
53.69% (-0.301 -0.3)25.17% (0.293 0.29)21.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 46.94% (-0.82 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07% (-1.091 -1.09)54.92% (1.084 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79% (-0.912 -0.91)76.21% (0.905 0.91)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (-0.554 -0.55)20.46% (0.548 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.08% (-0.884 -0.88)52.92% (0.879 0.88)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.01% (-0.621 -0.62)40.98% (0.61499999999999 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.46% (-0.559 -0.56)77.54% (0.55200000000001 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 53.68%
    Cadiz 21.14%
    Draw 25.16%
ValenciaDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 13.3% (0.33 0.33)
2-0 @ 10.55% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.58% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 53.68%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.348 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.188 0.19)
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 21.14%

How you voted: Valencia vs Cadiz

Valencia
82.1%
Draw
14.3%
Cadiz
3.6%
84
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