Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 21.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.