Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.