Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 71.1%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 12.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-3 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.