Champions League
Oct 4, 2023 5.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Alvaro Morata 12' goal
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 33' yellowcard
  • Saul Niguez 41' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Morata 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Morata 47' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 45'+3' goal
  • Samuel Lino 56' yellowcard
  • goal Mario Hermoso 7' (OG)
  • goal David Hancko 34'
  • yellowcard Calvin Stengs 53'

Atletico Madrid vs Feyenoord - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 19, 2023 8.00pm
Lazio 1 - 1 Atletico

Feyenoord

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 19, 2023 8.00pm
Feyenoord 2 - 0 Celtic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result

Atletico Madrid 39.1% (+0.84)
Draw 24.99% (-0.10)
Feyenoord 35.91% (-0.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.72% (+0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.33% (+0.38)
Under 2.5 45.67% (-0.38)
Over 3.5 32% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 67.99% (-0.36)
Over 4.5 16.08% (+0.26)
Under 4.5 83.92% (-0.26)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 76.83% (+0.60)
Under 0.5 23.17% (-0.60)
Over 1.5 42.95% (+0.88)
Under 1.5 57.05% (-0.88)

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5 75.13% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 24.87% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 40.52% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 59.47% (+0.33)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 39.1%
Draw 24.98%
Feyenoord 35.91%
Atletico Madrid
2-1 @ 8.57% (+0.11)
1-0 @ 8.43% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.16% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 4.18% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 3% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.91% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 1.53% (+0.08)
4-0 @ 1.1% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.06% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.97% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.35% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.98%
Feyenoord
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.10)
0-1 @ 8.02% (-0.19)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.10)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 35.91%