/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Ffeylog.png)
-
Kenneth Taylor
41'
-
Silvano Vos
66'
-
Brian Brobbey
80'
-
Santiago Gimenez
9'
-
Santiago Gimenez
18'
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Igor Paixao
37'
-
Timon Wellenreuther
42'
-
Santiago Gimenez
45'+7'
-
Santiago Gimenez
59'
Ajax vs Feyenoord - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F38%2Fmaurice-steijn.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.26%) and 2-3 (4.74%). The likeliest Ajax win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result
Ajax
36.21%
▼
(-1.91)
Draw
21.33%
▼
(-0.15)
Feyenoord
42.46%
▲
(+2.05)
Both Teams to Score:
71.82%
▲
(+0.30)
Goals
Over 2.5
72.59%
▲
(+0.49)
Under 2.5
27.4%
▼
(-0.49)
Over 3.5
52%
▲
(+0.61)
Under 3.5
47.99%
▼
(-0.62)
Over 4.5
32.6%
▲
(+0.58)
Under 4.5
67.39%
▼
(-0.58)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
83.55%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 0.5
16.44%
▲
(+0.58)
Over 1.5
53.87%
▼
(-1.05)
Under 1.5
46.12%
▲
(+1.04)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5
85.95%
▲
(+0.94)
Under 0.5
14.04%
▼
(-0.95)
Over 1.5
58.39%
▲
(+1.82)
Under 1.5
41.61%
▼
(-1.83)
Score analysis
Ajax
36.21%
Draw
21.33%
Feyenoord
42.46%
Ajax
2-1
@
7.39%
▼
(-0.27)
3-1 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.09)
1-0 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.21)
2-0 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.27)
3-0 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.21)
4-1 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.16)
4-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.08)
4-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 36.21%
3-1 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.09)
1-0 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.21)
2-0 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.27)
3-0 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.21)
4-1 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.16)
4-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.08)
4-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 36.21%
Draw
1-1
@
8.18%
▼
(-0.13)
2-2 @ 7.25% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 21.33%
2-2 @ 7.25% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 21.33%
Feyenoord
1-2
@
8.03%
▲
(+0.15)
1-3 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.27)
2-3 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.16)
0-1 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.21)
1-4 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.22)
2-4 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.15)
0-4 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.15)
3-4 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.07)
1-5 @ 1.01% ▼ (-88.89)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 42.46%
1-3 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.27)
2-3 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.16)
0-1 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.21)
1-4 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.22)
2-4 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.15)
0-4 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.15)
3-4 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.07)
1-5 @ 1.01% ▼ (-88.89)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 42.46%
