Eredivisie | Gameweek 6

Sep 27, 2023 at 1pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
0 - 4
Feyenoord

Taylor (41'), Vos (66'), Brobbey (80')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Gimenez (9', 18', 59'), Paixao (37')
Wellenreuther (42'), Gimenez (45+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 3-3 Marseille
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Feyenoord

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Feyenoord 2-0 Celtic
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.26%) and 2-3 (4.74%). The likeliest Ajax win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Feyenoord
36.21% ( -1.91)	21.33% ( -0.15)	42.46% ( 2.05)

Both teams to score 71.82% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.59% (

0.48)

27.4% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52% (

0.61)

47.99% (

-0.61)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.55% (

-0.58)

16.44% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.87% (

-1.05)

46.12% (

1.04)

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.95% (

0.94)

14.04% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.39% (

1.82)

41.61% (

-1.82)

Score Analysis

Ajax 36.21%

Feyenoord 42.46%

Draw 21.33%

Ajax	Draw	Feyenoord
2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.08) 4-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.53% Total : 36.21%	1-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.73% Total : 21.33%	1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.26% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 2.58% ( 0.21) 2-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.14) 3-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.11) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.87% Total : 42.46%