Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Celtic win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.