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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 55.64%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 22.37% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 22.37% ( | 21.99% ( | 55.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.74% ( | 40.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.37% ( | 62.63% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.47% ( | 31.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.08% ( | 67.92% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.62% ( | 14.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.73% ( | 42.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 5.86% ( 1-0 @ 5.23% ( 2-0 @ 3.02% ( 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 3-0 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 22.37% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0-2 @ 8.53% ( 1-3 @ 6.36% ( 0-3 @ 5.51% ( 2-3 @ 3.67% ( 1-4 @ 3.08% ( 0-4 @ 2.67% ( 2-4 @ 1.78% ( 1-5 @ 1.2% ( 0-5 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 55.64% |