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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
60.28% (![]() | 20.62% (![]() | 19.1% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.19% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.59% (![]() | 38.4% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.3% (![]() | 60.69% (![]() |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.61% (![]() | 12.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.75% (![]() | 38.25% (![]() |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.42% (![]() | 33.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.78% (![]() | 70.22% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 9.9% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.07% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.68% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.89% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.32% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.38% ( ![]() Other @ 3.91% Total : 60.28% | 1-1 @ 9.48% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.4% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 5.17% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 2.17% Total : 19.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 5 | 43 | 39 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 32 |
3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 6 | 23 | 29 |
4 | FC Twente | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 27 |
5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 22 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Heerenveen | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 19 |
8 | PEC Zwolle | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
9 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
11 | Ajax | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 15 |
12 | Heracles | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 15 |
13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 13 |
14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 13 |
15 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 12 |
16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 8 |
18 | Vitesse | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 8 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |