Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 4

Sep 3, 2023 at 12pm UK

Ibrox Stadium

Rangers
0 - 1
Celtic

Matondo (1'), Roofe (28')
Cantwell (73')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Furuhashi (45+2')
Scales (78')

Reaction

Rangers manager Michael Beale pictured on September 3, 2023

Michael Beale, Brendan Rodgers react after Celtic claim controversial win over Rangers

Michael Beale believes that the decision from VAR to disallow a first-half goal for his Rangers side was "harsh" in Sunday's 1-0 Old Firm derby defeat to rivals Celtic.

Sep 3, 14:31

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Rangers and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rangers

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: PSV 5-1 Rangers
Wednesday, August 30 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celtic

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Celtic 0-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Rangers win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
Rangers	Draw	Celtic
34.58% ( 0.47)	23.81% ( 0.36)	41.61% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 61.77% (

-1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.69% (

-1.64)

40.3% (

1.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.32% (

-1.71)

62.68% (

1.71)

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.88% (

-0.51)

23.12% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.02% (

-0.75)

56.97% (

0.74)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.34% (

-1.04)

19.65% (

1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.37% (

-1.72)

51.63% (

1.72)

Score Analysis

Rangers 34.58%

Celtic 41.61%

Draw 23.8%

Rangers	Draw	Celtic
2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.58%	1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.8%	1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.18% Total : 41.61%