Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 78.4%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 8.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.01%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-2 (2.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.