Europa League
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Olivier Verdon
70'
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Mohammed Kudus
16'
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Mohammed Kudus
18'
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Brian Brobbey
40'
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Mohammed Kudus
50'
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Jakov Medic
81'
Ludogorets Razgrad vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.14%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
Ludogorets Razgrad
49.72%
Draw
21.04%
Ajax
29.24%
Both Teams to Score:
69.59%
Goals
Over 2.5
70.98%
Under 2.5
29.02%
Over 3.5
49.99%
Under 3.5
50%
Over 4.5
30.74%
Under 4.5
69.26%
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5
87.67%
Under 0.5
12.32%
Over 1.5
61.87%
Under 1.5
38.13%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
79.37%
Under 0.5
20.63%
Over 1.5
46.81%
Under 1.5
53.19%
Score analysis
Ludogorets Razgrad
49.72%
Draw
21.04%
Ajax
29.24%
Ludogorets Razgrad
2-1
@
8.8%
3-1 @ 6.14%
2-0 @ 5.57%
1-0 @ 5.32%
3-2 @ 4.84%
3-0 @ 3.89%
4-1 @ 3.21%
4-2 @ 2.54%
4-0 @ 2.04%
5-1 @ 1.35%
4-3 @ 1.33%
5-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 49.72%
3-1 @ 6.14%
2-0 @ 5.57%
1-0 @ 5.32%
3-2 @ 4.84%
3-0 @ 3.89%
4-1 @ 3.21%
4-2 @ 2.54%
4-0 @ 2.04%
5-1 @ 1.35%
4-3 @ 1.33%
5-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 49.72%
Draw
1-1
@
8.4%
2-2 @ 6.94%
3-3 @ 2.55%
0-0 @ 2.54%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.04%
2-2 @ 6.94%
3-3 @ 2.55%
0-0 @ 2.54%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.04%
Ajax
1-2
@
6.63%
0-1 @ 4.01%
2-3 @ 3.65%
1-3 @ 3.49%
0-2 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 1.67%
2-4 @ 1.44%
1-4 @ 1.38%
3-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 29.24%
0-1 @ 4.01%
2-3 @ 3.65%
1-3 @ 3.49%
0-2 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 1.67%
2-4 @ 1.44%
1-4 @ 1.38%
3-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 29.24%