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Champions League

Ballkani
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadiumi i qytetit Suhareke
Ludogorets

KF Ballkani
2 - 0
Ludogorets

Korenica (45+1'), Zyba (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between KF Ballkani and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

KF Ballkani

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Last Game: CFR Cluj 1-0 KF Ballkani
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Ludogorets Razgrad

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Last Game: Anderlecht 2-1 Ludogorets (3-0 pen.)
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 49.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for KF Ballkani had a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a KF Ballkani win it was 1-0 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
KF BallkaniDrawLudogorets Razgrad
23.73% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)26.31% (0.010000000000002 0.01)49.96% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 46.77% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.28% (-0.073 -0.07)56.72% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.33% (-0.058 -0.06)77.67% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
KF Ballkani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.56% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)39.44% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.87% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)76.13% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.22% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)22.78% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.52% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)56.48% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Score Analysis
    KF Ballkani 23.73%
    Ludogorets Razgrad 49.96%
    Draw 26.31%
KF BallkaniDrawLudogorets Razgrad
1-0 @ 8.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 5.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 23.73%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 13.29% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 9.83% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-3 @ 4.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.79% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 49.96%

How you voted: KF Ballkani vs Ludogorets

KF Ballkani
16.3%
Draw
9.3%
Ludogorets Razgrad
74.4%
43